Getting China Medical While I Can
October 11th, 2007 by MarkIt’s not a tuuummor! Not after China Medical (NASDAQ:CMED) is done with it, that is!
Beijing-based China Medical Technologies (中国医疗技术公司) is the premier medical device company in China. Their business generates the most money from their ultrasound tumor therapy system and their in-vitro diagnostic business, though they have a wide variety of product lines.
The Valuation
| Revenue and profit for 12 months ending in March | |||||
| 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | |
| Revenue | 63.72 | 110.75 | 217.55 | 371.77 | 546.97 |
| growth | — | 73.8% | 96.4% | 70.9% | 47.4% |
| Profit | 43.09 | 76.77 | 152.97 | 261.27 | 395.36 |
| %growth | — | 78.2% | 99.3% | 70.8% | 51.3% |
All data are from Google Finance, figures are in millions of RMB
That’s some pretty torrid growth. While international investors have been throwing money around in China like a bunch of drunken sailors on shore leave this past couple of years, CMED seems to have missed the action. It’s now trading at a P/E of 27, and its FP/E is in the same ball-park as larger US-based medical device stocks, such as Baxter (NYSE: BAX) and Stryker (NYSE: SYK). I don’t think many would disagree it’s got a lot of room to run at a market cap of about a billion, in the most populous, fastest growing country in the world.
The Risks
I think my biggest risk by far is that I don’t know the medical industry the way I know video games or the way I know food. It’s not a co-incidence that my performance in bio-tech stocks has been abysmal to date. Hopefully, I’ve learned my lessons and done a bit better research this time, but the possibility of failure due to something I don’t understand is very, very real.
Other thoughts
Barring anything really unforeseen, I think this is one of my safer investments, and yet it has the chance of becoming a monstrous win. There are two bonuses that this stock provides, apart from everything written above.
1) It pays a dividend!
2) The RMB is seriously undervalued right now. Even if CMED doesn’t turn out to be a big success, the stock may still be a win after the effects of currency rates.
10/10/2007 09:30:34 Bought 75 CMED @ 39.85
Next Targets
I’ve got Chinese solar power company Suntech Power, and Taiwanese fabless semiconductor company Silicon Motion Technology Corp. on my watch list.
Legal Disclaimer: All of the information in this article is accurate to the best of my knowledge. However, I make no guarantee about the accuracy of anything written above. I’m not responsible for any mis-typings, or any other errors in the information. If you purchase any stock solely because I did, you do so at your own risk.
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October 11th, 2007 at 6:12 am
i know nothing about investing and would like to learn how to do it myself, as you are doing. can you recommend a good book? what websites do you go to for reliable info? thx
October 11th, 2007 at 2:03 pm
I think was a Peter Lynch’s One up on Wall Street
was a good book for beginners. Online, you can find quite a bit of free, useful information at the Motley Fool. They have a lot of pay services, but their beginner’s section, under the “Fool’s school” tab, is free. That’s where I got my start.
My review of One up on Wallstreet
October 13th, 2007 at 9:13 am
muchas gracias