Getting China Medical While I Can

October 11th, 2007 by Mark

It’s not a tuuummor! Not after China Medical (NASDAQ:CMED) is done with it, that is!

Beijing-based China Medical Technologies (中国医疗技术公司) is the premier medical device company in China. Their business generates the most money from their ultrasound tumor therapy system and their in-vitro diagnostic business, though they have a wide variety of product lines.

The Valuation

Revenue and profit for 12 months ending in March
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Revenue 63.72 110.75 217.55 371.77 546.97
growth 73.8% 96.4% 70.9% 47.4%
Profit 43.09 76.77 152.97 261.27 395.36
%growth 78.2% 99.3% 70.8% 51.3%

All data are from Google Finance, figures are in millions of RMB

That’s some pretty torrid growth. While international investors have been throwing money around in China like a bunch of drunken sailors on shore leave this past couple of years, CMED seems to have missed the action. It’s now trading at a P/E of 27, and its FP/E is in the same ball-park as larger US-based medical device stocks, such as Baxter (NYSE: BAX) and Stryker (NYSE: SYK). I don’t think many would disagree it’s got a lot of room to run at a market cap of about a billion, in the most populous, fastest growing country in the world.

The Risks

I think my biggest risk by far is that I don’t know the medical industry the way I know video games or the way I know food. It’s not a co-incidence that my performance in bio-tech stocks has been abysmal to date. Hopefully, I’ve learned my lessons and done a bit better research this time, but the possibility of failure due to something I don’t understand is very, very real.

Other thoughts

Barring anything really unforeseen, I think this is one of my safer investments, and yet it has the chance of becoming a monstrous win. There are two bonuses that this stock provides, apart from everything written above.

1) It pays a dividend!

2) The RMB is seriously undervalued right now. Even if CMED doesn’t turn out to be a big success, the stock may still be a win after the effects of currency rates.

10/10/2007 09:30:34 Bought 75 CMED @ 39.85

Next Targets

I’ve got Chinese solar power company Suntech Power, and Taiwanese fabless semiconductor company Silicon Motion Technology Corp. on my watch list.

Legal Disclaimer: All of the information in this article is accurate to the best of my knowledge. However, I make no guarantee about the accuracy of anything written above. I’m not responsible for any mis-typings, or any other errors in the information. If you purchase any stock solely because I did, you do so at your own risk.

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3 Responses to “Getting China Medical While I Can”

  1. 1 v Says:

    i know nothing about investing and would like to learn how to do it myself, as you are doing. can you recommend a good book? what websites do you go to for reliable info? thx

  2. 2 Mark Says:

    I think was a Peter Lynch’s One up on Wall Street was a good book for beginners. Online, you can find quite a bit of free, useful information at the Motley Fool. They have a lot of pay services, but their beginner’s section, under the “Fool’s school” tab, is free. That’s where I got my start.

    My review of One up on Wallstreet

  3. 3 v Says:

    muchas gracias

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